计算各节点的期望损益值
计算各节点的期望收益值(从右向左进行):
节点3:期望值=(0.85×150+0.15×10)×7=903(万元)
节点4:期望值=(0.1×150+0.9×10)×7=168(万元)
节点5:期望值=(0.85×150+0.15×10)×7-210=693(万元)
节点6:期望值=(0.1×60+0.9×2)×7=54.6(万元)
节点1:期望值=0.75×903+0.25×168+(0.75×100+0.25×10)×3-400=551.75(万元)
节点2:期望值=0.75×693+0.25×54.6+(0.75×60+0.25×2)×3-150万元=519.9(万元)