WithasenseofcrisismountingandtheEUunabletorespond,countrieswillbeincreasinglyinclined toactunilaterallyoreven---inthecaseofBritain--leavetheblocaltogether. Therefugeecrisisisalreadythreateningcherishedideasaboutopenborders.Inthepastcoupleofdays,GermanyhasreimposedfrontiercontrolswithAustria---which,inturn,hasimposedcontrolsatitsborderwithHungary,whichitselfisworkingfeverishlytocompleteabarbed-wire fencetoprotectitsfrontierwithnon-EUSerbia.ControlshavebeentightenedontheFrench-Italianborders,whilemigrantscampmiserablyinCalais,hopingtocrosstoEngland. IftheEUsomehowgetsagriponthemigrantcrisis,thesemeasuresmightbenomorethantemporaryexpedients.Butifthepressureofwould-berefugeesheadingforEuroperemainintense,thentemporarymeasurescouldhardenintopermanentcontrols. Questionsmarksoveropenborderswilleasilyshadeintowiderissuesaboutaccesstowelfaresystemsandlabormarkets.ThatisbecauseEUcountriesarerealizingthat—inaborder-freesinglemarket—aunilateralchangeofasylumrules byGermanyhadimplicationsfortheimmigrationpoliciesofallmemberstates.OncemigrantsgetcitizenshipinoneEUcountry,theyhavetherighttomovetoanyother,toworkthereandtoclaimbenefits.Butiffreemovementofpeopleandlaborcomeintoquestion,sodoestheEU`ssinglemarket—itscentralachievement. Therefugeeissuehasforthemoment,overshadowedtheeuro.Buttheproblemsofthesinglecurrencyhavenotgoneaway.Onthecontrary,Greece'sdecisionthissummertoknuckle underandacceptyetanotherausteritypackagehasmadetheEurozonelookincreasinglylikeatrap. EvenGreece,whichisprofoundlyunhappywithlifeintheEurozone,cannotriskleavingforfearofprovokingafinancialandeconomiccrisis.CreditorcountriessuchasGermanyandtheNetherlandsarenotmuchhappier,astheyfeartheyarebeingdraggedintoasystemofpermanentfiscaltransferstowardsthenationsofEurope.Meanwhile,effortstomaketheeuroworkbetter, bypressingaheadwithabankingunion,arestuckinBrussels.Thisdoesnotlooklikeasustainablesituationandtheriskofeurobreak-upwillsurelyreturn. TherefugeeandeurocrisisbearonwhetherBritainwillvotetostayintheEU,whenitholdsareferendumin2016or2017.Untilrecently,theopinionpollslookedpromisingforthepro-EUcamp.ButthemigrantcrisisplaysdirectlyintothemostpotentissuedeployedbythosecampaigningforBritaintoleave-whichisthatmembershipof theEUmeansthattheUKcannotcontrolimmigration.Morebroadly,theBritisharelesslikelytostayinsideanorganizationthatseemstobefailing.Iftheyvotetoleave,thesenseofcrisis withintheEUwouldthenmount--raisingthepossibilityoffurtherdefections. ApartialunravellingandmarginalizationoftheEUstilllooksmorelikelythanafull-scalecollapse.ButevenifanorganizationcalledtheEuropeanUnioncontinuestoexist---runningbuildingsandpayingsalaries---itrisksbecomingincreasinglyirrelevant. IftheBritain'sLaborPartyisledbyafar-leftEuroscepticcandidate,whatwouldmostlikelyhappen?
A.He would choose to stay in the EU. B.He would work with other members of EU to respond to the problems EU faces. C.He would open borders to offer asylum to refugees. D.He would probably hasten the exit of UK from EU.正确答案D
